{"id":1725,"date":"2023-03-08T14:45:21","date_gmt":"2023-03-08T14:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/?p=1725"},"modified":"2025-01-26T17:32:05","modified_gmt":"2025-01-26T17:32:05","slug":"the-federal-reserve-endgame-is-not-a-collapse-its-global-domination-by-cocoda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/?p=1725","title":{"rendered":"The Federal Reserve Endgame Is Not a Collapse, It&#8217;s Global Domination, by cocoda"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/\">Index:<\/a> please click on the link for the index please?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"670\" height=\"417\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-19.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2556\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-19.png 670w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-19-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 670px) 100vw, 670px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Central Bank Plan to Monopolize Global Finance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Werner points out that while central banks are promoting CBDCs as digital currency, we\u2019ve had digital currency for decades, so there\u2019s nothing new about the digital aspect of this currency. Cash \u2014 paper banknotes and coins \u2014 are but a small part \u2014 about 3% in most countries \u2014 of the total money supply. The rest is digital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, central banks are the only ones authorized to issue banknotes, but regular banks create 97% of the money through lending. They\u2019re not allowed to issue paper notes. Instead, they issue deposit entries into your bank account, which is digital. So, Werner notes, you could say we\u2019ve been using bank digital currency (BDC) for decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"717\" height=\"579\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/unicoin.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3627\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/unicoin.jpg 717w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/unicoin-300x242.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 717px) 100vw, 717px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The difference between BDCs and CBDCs is the centralized aspect. So, what\u2019s happening now is that central banks, which are the regulators of banks, are stepping in to directly compete with the banks they\u2019re regulating. Werner likens it to the umpire joining the game. That obviously makes it an unfair game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cIt is a big danger,\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;Werner tells Cummins.<sup>2<\/sup>&nbsp;<em>\u201cAnd you can see where this is going. If we allow central bank digital currencies, sooner or later they will drive out the private sector competition. They will drive out the banks.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>And, of course, we also have this other problem &#8230; that whenever we get a banking crisis and a financial crisis, the regulators get more power because each time they argue, \u2018Oh that now happened, it&#8217;s different from before and that&#8217;s because we still don&#8217;t have enough power. We need to have more powers\u2019 &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"538\" height=\"539\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/fear-Cabal-NWO.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3521\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/fear-Cabal-NWO.jpg 538w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/fear-Cabal-NWO-300x300.jpg 300w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/fear-Cabal-NWO-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 538px) 100vw, 538px\" \/><\/figure><\/div><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>This is a regulatory moral hazard. If the regulator gets rewarded for failure &#8230; you can be sure that we&#8217;ll have more crises, because they&#8217;ll be given more powers. Now they want to introduce CBDCs, and of course, the best time from their viewpoint is &#8230; another banking crisis, so that people want to move their money out of banks &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>That\u2019s the easiest way to introduce this, which means we have a massive incentive now for regulators, for central planners, to create another huge financial crisis so that they can then take over.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>Of course, then that&#8217;s the end of it, because the banking system is not going to recover from this. Now, do we really want this, where essentially the number of banks goes down so much that there&#8217;s really only one bank left?<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>In their 23 years or so of existence, the ECB has killed around 5,000 banks in Europe already, and it wasn\u2019t the big guys &#8230; Thousands of banks are gone in America too, and, of course, JP Morgan and the rest are hoovering them up so they\u2019re just becoming big fat mega banks &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"747\" height=\"544\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Euro-Symbol.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2328\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Euro-Symbol.jpg 747w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Euro-Symbol-300x218.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 747px) 100vw, 747px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>It seems the ECB is set up to be the &#8230; only bank they want left in Europe, and that\u2019s going to happen if we allow CBDCs. So, we really have to step up now and say, \u2018We don&#8217;t need this; we already have digital currencies, thank you very much.\u2019\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"708\" height=\"550\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2376\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican.jpg 708w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican-300x233.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"791\" height=\"866\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/bankers-pharma-war-media-and-politics.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1500\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/bankers-pharma-war-media-and-politics.jpg 791w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/bankers-pharma-war-media-and-politics-274x300.jpg 274w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/bankers-pharma-war-media-and-politics-768x841.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 791px) 100vw, 791px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"526\" height=\"394\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Rothschild.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2418\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Rothschild.png 526w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Rothschild-300x225.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 526px) 100vw, 526px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br>The longer America remains a lone superpower, the greater the Federal Reserve&#8217;s reach over global finance.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Privately owned\/controlled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/profile\/1098433-concoda?utm_source=author-byline-face\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_64,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c598c4b-569b-4665-afcd-feba5e58b55f_1515x1441.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/profile\/1098433-concoda\">Concoda<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sep 21, 2022<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a>82<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/concoda.substack.com\/p\/the-federal-reserve-endgame-is-not\/comments\">23<\/a><a href=\"javascript:void(0)\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F203c10cd-7f03-402a-b896-973a9c654624_2500x1662.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F203c10cd-7f03-402a-b896-973a9c654624_2500x1662.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>After a pandemic and multiple financial crises, we\u2019ve finally entered a lengthy period of rising interest rates. But while most are aware of the ominous outcomes this could create, those who understand how the Fed actually controls interest rates will gain an edge in predicting the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"545\" height=\"326\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/gold-london.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2347\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/gold-london.jpg 545w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/gold-london-300x179.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 545px) 100vw, 545px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of recent events ushering in exceptional circumstances, current textbooks describing how the Fed influences interest rates have become obsolete. Until recently, Federal Reserve officials could simply raise and lower interest rates by decreasing and increasing the level of bank reserves in the financial system. Bank reserves are \u201cinterbank\u201d money, which can only be used by entities with reserve accounts inside the Federal Reserve System. JPMorgan, for instance, can pay Goldman Sachs for prime New York real estate using its reserves, while the average citizen must use bank deposits or \u201cFederal Reserve Notes,\u201d a fancy term for physical cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the Federal Reserve had enough power to push interest rates toward its target, commonly known as the Federal Funds rate or EFFR \u2014 the price at which banks lend reserves to one another. The U.S central bank did so by adding and removing a specific amount of reserves to and from its interbank system. By lowering the supply of bank reserves, the Fed forced financial institutions to bid up the price of Federal Funds, resulting in higher interest rates throughout money markets. Conversely, by increasing the supply of bank reserves, the Fed influenced interest rates lower. The following graphic from the St. Louis Fed website illustrates these forces at work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc2f6b7d7-53cc-4393-8095-882654be91ee_320x300.gif\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc2f6b7d7-53cc-4393-8095-882654be91ee_320x300.gif\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Everything ran smoothly. The Fed set a target range in which interest rates could fluctuate and made the necessary adjustments to keep rates within set boundaries. Conveying and implementing its latest monetary policy stance was a cakewalk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then, in 2008, the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) hit, changing the central banking paradigm and the Federal Reserve System forever. The primary catalyst that fueled a radical transformation was the Fed officials\u2019 decision to flood the system with bucketloads of reserves. The amount was staggering. In 2007, the system held a total of $15&nbsp;<em>billion&nbsp;<\/em>in reserves. Today, that total has skyrocketed to roughly $3.2&nbsp;<em>trillion<\/em>. The Fed\u2019s latest quantitative tightening agenda has been aggressively eliminating bank reserves from the system. Still, it\u2019s long before we return to \u201cnormal\u201d levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7078036e-bbfc-4ef1-bd93-6eb1ea0e7a0b_3476x2508.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7078036e-bbfc-4ef1-bd93-6eb1ea0e7a0b_3476x2508.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>With a system full to the brim with reserves, the Fed could no longer control interest rates through its previous policy of increasing and decreasing levels of interbank money. As shown in the graphic below, the Fed flooding the system with reserves meant that even sizeable supply adjustments no longer influenced the demand curve. The U.S central bank needed a new mechanism to take back control of Federal Funds and fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbc0b5777-3a77-46cf-9003-ffdf1cb0c265_320x300.gif\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbc0b5777-3a77-46cf-9003-ffdf1cb0c265_320x300.gif\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Enter the Fed\u2019s \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/newyorkfed.org\/newsevents\/speeches\/2020\/log201201\">Ample Reserves<\/a>\u201d regime, where Fed officials stopped using open market operations (OMOs) \u2014 buying and selling government securities to alter reserve levels \u2014 as its primary tool to adjust the price of money. On October 6th, 2008, the Fed began paying reserve account holders, mostly large commercial banks and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), interest on their balances. IOER (Interest On Excess Reserves), as it was called back then, had been chosen as the Fed\u2019s chief tool to control interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By offering banks IOER, a \u201crisk-free\u201d investment option, the Fed gained the power to control money markets through two mechanisms. First, through the \u201creservation rate,\u201d the lowest rate that banks were willing to loan out funds to the market. Because the Fed started handing out a risk-free investment that paid superior interest (IOER), no entity would want to lend to others at rates lower than the Fed. This set a ceiling on how high rates could go, alongside the Fed\u2019s second mechanism: arbitrage. Fed Funds rarely dropped beneath IOER because entities could create a risk-free arbitrage, borrowing Fed Funds at say 1% and depositing it at the Fed, which paid out 1.5%. The 50 basis points gap would eventually narrow to near zero, as Fed Funds participants competed to arbitrage the spread away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With these two new levers, the Fed believed it had successfully regained control of money markets. If it wanted to alter rates, the Fed simply adjusted the discount rate and IOER at the same time and by the same level. If the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) was indicating that rates should rise, money markets could adjust, preemptively pricing in a tightening cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From there, the Fed established a ceiling on interest rates, but a slight problem remained. They also needed to establish a floor on rates. Influential participants in the Fed Funds market, such as Federal Home Loan Banks (FHLBs), were ineligible to earn interest on their reserve balances. This meant they sometimes pushed money market rates below the Fed\u2019s targets. To counteract this, the Fed&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/markets\/domestic-market-operations\/monetary-policy-implementation\/repo-reverse-repo-agreements\">created<\/a>&nbsp;the overnight reverse repo facility, ON RRP. This offered a risk-free investment at a set rate to parties ineligible for IOER, thereby correcting the bug and setting a lower bound on interest rates. Money markets obeyed with minimal fuss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, that was that. After implementing a trio of policy rates (IORB, ON RRP, and the discount rate), the Fed once again felt it had total control of money markets. Yet, it still held one weakness: repo, the shadow banking market that allowed parties to temporarily transform their Treasuries into quasi-bank deposits. By 2019, barely any entities other than a few government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) still participated in the Federal Funds market, as most institutions now had all the reserves they needed. Instead, animal spirits and regulation pushed market participants into&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/concoda.substack.com\/p\/the-ultimate-money-printing-dilemma\">repo<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On September 17th, 2019, rates in the repo market exploded higher. Everyone wanted cash, but there was a shortage. Corporate tax payments and increases in Treasury issuance prompted a large decline in reserves. As a result, banks had to cut back on repo lending. Nobody could provide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c1a9a45-a990-4bb7-93f7-b6c1589d13c8_624x518.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c1a9a45-a990-4bb7-93f7-b6c1589d13c8_624x518.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Responding to this demand-supply mismatch, the Fed created what it eventually called the \u201cStanding Repo Facility\u201d. This allowed specific entities to obtain cash from the Fed at a set rate using U.S. Treasuries, agency debt, or agency mortgage-backed securities as collateral. The Fed\u2019s gambit worked. Since everyone started borrowing from the central bank, the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/markets\/reference-rates\/sofr\">SOFR<\/a>), which tracks the cost of transactions in the repo market, fell from over 5% to within the Fed\u2019s target range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fast forward to July 2021, after COVID and the ensuing QE Infinity, IOER along with IORR (interest on required reserves) had grown redundant. The Fed retired these measures in favor of&nbsp;a single benchmark: IORB (Interest on Reserve Balances). QE Infinity had made the term \u201cexcess reserves\u201d meaningless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since then, it\u2019s been plain sailing for the Fed. It has, at least for now, eliminated potential crises in money markets. If rates soar above its target range, the Fed adjusts IORB or fires up the Standing Repo Facility, bringing rates back into its desired range. At the lower bound, entities barely want to borrow under the Fed\u2019s ON RRP rate, as they\u2019re missing out on a risk-free investment from an entity that can issue debt with no credit or default risk. The Fed\u2019s rate floor has been \u201cleaky\u201d a few times, but everytime it\u2019s been fixed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So by implementing a trio of policy rates (IORB, ON RRP, and the discount rate), and utilizing its Standing Repo Facility, the Fed has gained a solid grip on money markets. Ever since the repo market blowup, minus a few \u201churdles\u201d, the status quo has evolved into stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97981548-c58e-4d23-9e2b-be11d8c3e28a_1168x450.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97981548-c58e-4d23-9e2b-be11d8c3e28a_1168x450.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, claiming the system is \u201cstable\u201d is what many will deem contrarian. But contrary to popular belief, the Fed has created a more durable system and increased resilience. Most Fed analysis is ideologically driven, not based on validities, so it\u2019s hard to acknowledge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This, however, does not mean financial markets have been stripped of hazards. With the Fed being able to prevent domestic money market crises, the danger now lies offshore in exotic areas of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But once again, the U.S is gradually gaining authority and power over these markets. By providing central bank swap lines and foreign exchange swaps to its closest allies, opening a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/fima-repo-facility.htm\">FIMA facility<\/a>&nbsp;to seemingly supply emergency dollars to China, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/system\/files\/2022-07\/57971-LTBO.pdf\">issuing<\/a>&nbsp;$1 trillion in Treasuries every year till at least 2055, America will increase its grip on global finance, with the U.S. Dollar front and center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s for these and many other reasons that Concoda sees the endgame as not a collapse but the Fed gobbling up every shadow banking paradigm to maintain financial stability. The REM Industrial Complex (Repo, Eurodollar, and Money Market Fund) will continue to fall under the Fed\u2019s umbrella. The U.S dollar hegemony requires a complex, ever-changing financial system, and as it becomes increasingly elaborate and intricate, the Federal Reserve must expand its powers to preserve authority. The so-called world\u2019s central bank possesses almost total control over most of the global monetary system, but if another threat emerges, it can \u2014 and will \u2014 adapt to the situation, changing the rules of the game once again to keep the monetary system functional and stable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Despite a brief backlash, everyone \u2014 central bank critics, average citizens, and even crypto advocates \u2014 will go along with the Fed\u2019s contemporary policies because the alternative is a financial catastrophe so ominous that even collapsitarians will choose to avoid it. When everyone is faced with the real consequences of the so-called Great Financial Reset&#x2122;, it will be exposed as a mere daydream.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>If you enjoyed this, feel free to&nbsp;smash&nbsp;that&nbsp;like&nbsp;button and share a link via social media. Thanks for supporting macro journalism!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"688\" height=\"424\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/christine-lagarde-and-bush.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2297\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/christine-lagarde-and-bush.jpg 688w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/christine-lagarde-and-bush-300x185.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 688px) 100vw, 688px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The&nbsp;<em><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/25ab957a-7531-465b-b26a-670de02a4b4b?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\">Great Sovereign Debt Intervention<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;is here, <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>with leaders now eager to prevent rising instability in America\u2019s bond market. Their solutions, however, will not only prevent a calamity but stimulate risk assets without the aid of central banks. The era of \u201cTreasury QE\u201d awaits us. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"230\" height=\"300\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-23.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2561\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>After we warned late last year about&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/25ab957a-7531-465b-b26a-670de02a4b4b?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\">rising illiquidity<\/a>&nbsp;in America\u2019s sovereign bond market, leaders have begun to respond. The unintended consequences of previous policies, regulations, and interventions can no longer be ignored. Earlier this month, authorities revealed their latest mechanism to paint over the cracks in the U.S. empire\u2019s liquidity goliath. Officials&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/5f1a9e0f-6d9f-42b5-9b35-670448482766?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\">announced<\/a>&nbsp;the first Treasury buyback program in just over two decades, designed to thwart illiquidity in America\u2019s $23 trillion sovereign debt market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/7dc166f5-790b-4c9e-995e-b1f449c19a80?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\"><\/a><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>the entire U.S. Treasury market visualized<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the last decade, the post-financial crisis regulatory establishment has forced the biggest liquidity providers in the Treasury market to retreat. The major players have pulled back from market-making, just as America embarks on its greatest debt expansion in recent history. Regulations such as Basel III and the Dodd-Frank Act have&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/open.substack.com\/pub\/concoda\/p\/the-feds-global-dilemma?r=njk1&amp;utm_campaign=post&amp;utm_medium=web\">hindered<\/a>&nbsp;the major liquidity giants through balance sheet constraints, such as the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) and Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR). The cost of making markets in Treasuries is&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/be63359d-1934-4791-a6df-b52c58e8694b?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\">ever-increasing<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/3d371f89-948b-45ea-afe6-2be9194d6ae6?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\"><\/a><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: U.S. Treasury<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, to achieve its global and domestic aims, the U.S. empire is set to issue around $1 to $2 trillion of (net) Treasury debt each year, all while the ability of financial actors to absorb such an amount is dwindling. Monetary leaders, however, have acknowledged the endgame. The rules and restrictions they have enforced over the last decade have been designed to transfer systemic risk from the big banks to the sovereign (state) level. But to also keep the global liquidity machine churning, they will need to conjure up more monetary alchemy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2\/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9jb25jb2RhLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpYmU_dG9rZW49ZXlKMWMyVnlYMmxrSWpvek5EYzFORGcxTVN3aWFXRjBJam94TmpnMU1qQXlNRFl5TENKbGVIQWlPakUyT0RjM09UUXdOaklzSW1semN5STZJbkIxWWkwek9Ea3lJaXdpYzNWaUlqb2lZMmhsWTJ0dmRYUWlmUS43M2dFSXRENE5yckU5TElBdVFVWlJ0NVZpdDhoNENobWU3WWlrWHVBUWJjJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9cG9zdCIsInAiOjEyMTE2NjMwMiwicyI6Mzg5MiwiZiI6dHJ1ZSwidSI6MzQ3NTQ4NTEsImlhdCI6MTY4NTIwMjA2MiwiZXhwIjoxNjg3Nzk0MDYyLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItMCIsInN1YiI6ImxpbmstcmVkaXJlY3QifQ.QSlg6sWfN_ayAV3loE-bI4eZ5odBfihwaOGC3P88xxI?&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=subscribe-widget&amp;utm_content=121166302\">Upgrade to paid<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the details aren\u2019t yet set in stone, the U.S. Treasury will be conducting a Treasury buyback program in 2024 and onwards. It has two objectives: to improve \u201ccash management\u201d \u2014 jargon for reducing the volatility of the Treasury\u2019s bank balance (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/071f2146-4223-4a4b-b459-758ac90a5f37?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\">the TGA<\/a>) \u2014 and to boost liquidity in the secondary Treasury market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"613\" height=\"387\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/ECB-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2317\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/ECB-1.jpg 613w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/ECB-1-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 613px) 100vw, 613px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Buybacks will also enable the Treasury to replace expensive bonds with those that cost less to service. What\u2019s more, much like the Federal Reserve, the Treasury will become a \u201cdealer of last resort\u201d, acting as a buyer of illiquid bonds when no other participant is willing. Using funds from either bond sales or its bank account at the Fed, the U.S. Treasury will purchase existing bonds in the secondary market (via primary dealers such as JPMorgan and Nomura) to boost liquidity and maybe even suppress yields. Lower yields equal cheaper expenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/34f7c3ae-aad5-465a-a901-974eb999dd5d?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ecp.yusercontent.com\/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstackcdn.com%2Fimage%2Ffetch%2Fw_2912%2Cc_limit%2Cf_auto%2Cq_auto%3Agood%2Cfl_progressive%3Asteep%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%252Fpublic%252Fimages%252F03970dc4-9709-4c2f-93c9-add51f4d7b71_2396x1387.png&amp;t=1685259638&amp;ymreqid=985913fe-91af-a7c9-1cf5-93000101da00&amp;sig=rrQsQS7H54RU7VIDs3x3_g--~D\" alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Though Treasury buybacks give them the ability to greatly influence markets, officials have stated that the announced program won\u2019t be extensive enough to act as a bailout in times of stress. If turmoil erupts, other measures will be enacted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, though, the number of tools officials can employ to quash volatility has grown more limited than ever before. The Fed can\u2019t initiate a full-blown pivot of rate cuts and QE without reigniting animal spirits, undoing all efforts to tackle inflation. Its toolbox remains scarce. Instead, officials at both the Fed and U.S. Treasury are doing everything in their power to continue a tightening cycle without reversing course. With a pivot off the table, they have been forced to implement what&nbsp;<em>Concoda<\/em>&nbsp;calls the \u201cNot-QE corridor\u201d, the new unconventional toolbox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/97703563-c186-4fa6-8ba0-0437cdbf4110?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ecp.yusercontent.com\/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstackcdn.com%2Fimage%2Ffetch%2Fw_2912%2Cc_limit%2Cf_auto%2Cq_auto%3Agood%2Cfl_progressive%3Asteep%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%252Fpublic%252Fimages%252F3396ab2b-823f-48af-b017-dfa0caddcc19_1988x1687.png&amp;t=1685259638&amp;ymreqid=985913fe-91af-a7c9-1cf5-93000101da00&amp;sig=QQ9Bke3x0BLAf4Zxqm1jjA--~D\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Much like the Fed\u2019s \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/39b4ede9-6b7d-4674-a7f6-1390ddc0fb1e?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\">Global Jaws<\/a>\u201d, which depicts the global dollar rates corridor, the \u201cNot-QE corridor\u201d has an upper and lower limit. When the upper boundary is reached, financial conditions have become too loose for the Fed to sit by idly. More rate hikes and QT will follow. Conversely, when the lower limit is reached, financial conditions have tightened enough to warrant Fed intervention. The U.S. central bank has no intention of pivoting until it\u2019s reached its 2% inflation target, so it must invent \u201cstealth QE\u201d facilities, like the&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/0393a750-a952-4c03-a328-ae4bd83462ca?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\">BTFP<\/a>&nbsp;(Bank Term Funding Program).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/a1902d6e-e3c5-4774-939d-21453c6e1dfe?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ecp.yusercontent.com\/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstackcdn.com%2Fimage%2Ffetch%2Fw_2912%2Cc_limit%2Cf_auto%2Cq_auto%3Agood%2Cfl_progressive%3Asteep%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%252Fpublic%252Fimages%252F974a55d3-80fc-4aa8-bd8e-bbdfbc566e47_2413x1637.png&amp;t=1685259638&amp;ymreqid=985913fe-91af-a7c9-1cf5-93000101da00&amp;sig=8maXzo2NPtebAWAc1vvLtA--~D\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed has been using all the easing and tightening tools available in its armory, but the U.S. Treasury has yet to wield any. At the upper limit of the Not-QE corridor, the Treasury has chosen to avoid deploying \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/3e952ad1-6f22-40e7-9f81-3ef2689b9c90?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\">TQT<\/a>\u201d: Tighter Quantitative Tightening. With TQT, monetary leaders attempt to tighten conditions further by reducing the Fed\u2019s balance sheet at a faster pace while issuing more long-dated bonds to the market. The greater duration risk of longer-dated bonds causes investors to sell riskier assets to fund these purchases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"951\" height=\"960\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/rothschild-owns-all.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2416\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/rothschild-owns-all.jpg 951w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/rothschild-owns-all-297x300.jpg 297w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/rothschild-owns-all-150x150.jpg 150w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/rothschild-owns-all-768x775.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 951px) 100vw, 951px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, at the lower limit of the Not-QE corridor, the Treasury does not possess any concrete tools to stimulate asset prices. After all, that\u2019s the job of the Federal Reserve. At the start of 2024, however, buybacks will commence, enabling the prospect of Treasury QE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"754\" height=\"351\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/end-of-global-banking.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2332\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/end-of-global-banking.jpg 754w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/end-of-global-banking-300x140.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 754px) 100vw, 754px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If inflation remains higher for longer, and the Fed breaks something else not worth pivoting over, the Treasury could join forces with the U.S. central bank to help ease financial conditions. While the Fed implements more Not-QE measures, the Treasury uses buybacks to stimulate risk sentiment. Previous buyback programs have not been used by Treasury officials to specifically stimulate asset prices, yet this time could be different. If politics at the Treasury and the Fed align during a period where a pivot is undesirable, the Fed\u2019s independence could be bypassed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first of two mechanisms they could use to stimulate financial assets via buybacks is simple: remove duration risk from the market by buying back longer-dated bonds and swapping them with shorter maturities. Swapping 30-year bonds for 2-year notes will be stimulative. Still, to truly make this \u201cquantitative easing for Treasuries\u201d, officials would have to announce that this is what they\u2019re doing in advance, thereby mimicking the psychological effects that traditional QE (buying bonds with newly printed bank reserves) has on risk assets. Right now, the Treasury has no plans to employ this type of easing. Proposed buybacks will be \u201cduration neutral\u201d. But it\u2019s feasible if desired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2\/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9jb25jb2RhLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpYmU_dG9rZW49ZXlKMWMyVnlYMmxrSWpvek5EYzFORGcxTVN3aWFXRjBJam94TmpnMU1qQXlNRFl5TENKbGVIQWlPakUyT0RjM09UUXdOaklzSW1semN5STZJbkIxWWkwek9Ea3lJaXdpYzNWaUlqb2lZMmhsWTJ0dmRYUWlmUS43M2dFSXRENE5yckU5TElBdVFVWlJ0NVZpdDhoNENobWU3WWlrWHVBUWJjJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9cG9zdCIsInAiOjEyMTE2NjMwMiwicyI6Mzg5MiwiZiI6dHJ1ZSwidSI6MzQ3NTQ4NTEsImlhdCI6MTY4NTIwMjA2MiwiZXhwIjoxNjg3Nzk0MDYyLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItMCIsInN1YiI6ImxpbmstcmVkaXJlY3QifQ.QSlg6sWfN_ayAV3loE-bI4eZ5odBfihwaOGC3P88xxI?&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=subscribe-widget&amp;utm_content=121166302\">Upgrade to paid<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then, there\u2019s the second Treasury QE mechanism, which this time boosts liquidity in the financial system and potentially increases risk-seeking behavior: Treasury buybacks where the newly issued bond is funded with cash drained from the Fed\u2019s RRP (reverse repo) facility. Unlike the first kind of Treasury QE, easing occurs without Treasury officials ever intending to loosen financial conditions. If a money market fund (MMF) withdraws cash from the RRP facility, a Treasury buyback is all that\u2019s needed to boost \u201cnet liquidity\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/75086b5c-0d13-4ce6-a754-1656de4b9e2e?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\"><\/a><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Treasury QE visualized&nbsp;<strong>(click to enlarge)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"518\" height=\"390\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-35.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2940\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-35.png 518w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-35-300x226.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 518px) 100vw, 518px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Before this type of Treasury QE takes place, the MMF had originally invested in RRPs (reverse repo agreements) offered by the Fed. The result was a stable stream of overnight income for the MMF but a net draining of liquidity from the financial system. RRPs are what&nbsp;<em>Concoda<\/em>&nbsp;calls \u201creserve neutralizers\u201d. Bank reserves and deposits are \u201cneutralized\u201d .i.e temporarily removed from the banking system and replaced with the most illiquid cash-like investment: an RRP issued by the Fed. Unlike other short-term investments, cash is locked in the triparty repo platform \u2014 which the Fed uses to process RRP transactions \u2014 till 3:30 pm the following evening. The price to pay for receiving free money from the Fed is \u201ctrapped\u201d intraday liquidity and often inferior returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"708\" height=\"550\" src=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2376\" srcset=\"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican.jpg 708w, http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/money-and-vatican-300x233.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>When the MMF invests in an RRP, its commercial bank destroys the MMF\u2019s deposit and sends reserves to the Fed. Once received, the U.S. central bank transforms these reserves into an RRP liability on its balance sheet. Liquidity, in the form of bank deposits and reserves, has been \u201cneutralized\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/56665215-7c23-4c9c-ae0b-54d42dbcb80f?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\"><\/a><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The Fed\u2019s RRPs remove bank deposits and reserves temporarily<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But when the money fund decides to partake in a buyback by purchasing new bills the U.S. government is offering, this process \u201cde-neutralizes\u201d reserves and deposits, adding once-trapped RRP cash back into the banking system. Overall liquidity has expanded once again. This type of Treasury QE, however, can only be influential if MMFs are willing to unwind their RRP positions with the Fed and take part in upcoming buybacks. If investments other than RRPs, like bills and repo, offer superior returns, only then will this be stimulative. Ultimately, in both scenarios of Treasury QE, Treasury buybacks could be used as a QE-style signaling tool to further encourage investors to withdraw from money market funds (MMFs) and invest in riskier assets, thereby forcing more liquidity into the banking system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Upon implementing Treasury QE, monetary leaders will have fitted the missing piece in their Not-QE corridor:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/83f66af1-64ea-4e4d-b0f1-c0f6f793c2f4?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ecp.yusercontent.com\/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstackcdn.com%2Fimage%2Ffetch%2Fw_2912%2Cc_limit%2Cf_auto%2Cq_auto%3Agood%2Cfl_progressive%3Asteep%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%252Fpublic%252Fimages%252Fe7d5d8ba-9649-455b-b24d-b6052d27cc0d_1988x1687.png&amp;t=1685259638&amp;ymreqid=985913fe-91af-a7c9-1cf5-93000101da00&amp;sig=g7kUDY08rmVaoQI1QFUacA--~D\" alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Treasury QE via buybacks and \u201cNot-QE\u201d from the Fed will provide a stronger lower bound to ease financial conditions when needed, while QT and TQT achieve the opposite effect. Moreover, if the Fed and Treasury have joint political goals, they can effectively bypass the Fed\u2019s so-called independence, coordinating the easing and tightening of financial conditions. On the flip side, they could also offset one another\u2019s actions. For instance, the Treasury could be \u201ctightening\u201d while the Fed \u201ceases\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, monetary leaders only need to activate some elements of the Not-QE corridor. U.S. Treasury officials have decided not to fire up TQT (Tighter Quantitative Tightening), while \u201cTreasury QE\u201d through buybacks could only come online after 2024 commences. QT (quantitative tightening) and \u201cNot-QE\u201d, meanwhile, remain active. QT is still shrinking the Fed\u2019s balance sheet by $95 billion per month, whereas \u201cNot-QE\u201d is delivering a somewhat stimulative effect to risk assets, without the Fed ever printing reserves to buy bonds outright (actual QE).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nobody, not even the Fed, seems to know what catalyst will cause officials to finally return to rate cuts, QE, or both. If inflation remains stickier for longer than most expect, the Not-QE corridor won\u2019t collapse anytime soon, and monetary alchemy will prosper. The Treasury market provides those who oversee it the power to control global finance like never before. Yet they\u2019ve chosen not to use it to its full effect. But with Treasury QE on the way, those in charge may give in to temptation. Eventually, these powers may be activated. It\u2019s widely believed that officials are running out of ideas and tools to preserve stability. Yet in reality, the golden age of intervention is yet to come. When Treasury QE arrives, the Great Sovereign Debt Intervention&#x2122; will have only just begun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>If you enjoyed this, feel free to hit&nbsp;the&nbsp;\u2661&nbsp;button to let us know and share a link via social media to help us grow. Comments are also encouraged. Thanks for supporting macro journalism!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Thanks for reading. 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You\u2019ll receive access to all the content we put out, gain access to discussions, direct email, and more.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2\/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9jb25jb2RhLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpYmU_dG9rZW49ZXlKMWMyVnlYMmxrSWpvek5EYzFORGcxTVN3aWFXRjBJam94TmpnMU1qQXlNRFl5TENKbGVIQWlPakUyT0RjM09UUXdOaklzSW1semN5STZJbkIxWWkwek9Ea3lJaXdpYzNWaUlqb2lZMmhsWTJ0dmRYUWlmUS43M2dFSXRENE5yckU5TElBdVFVWlJ0NVZpdDhoNENobWU3WWlrWHVBUWJjJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9cG9zdCIsInAiOjEyMTE2NjMwMiwicyI6Mzg5MiwiZiI6dHJ1ZSwidSI6MzQ3NTQ4NTEsImlhdCI6MTY4NTIwMjA2MiwiZXhwIjoxNjg3Nzk0MDYyLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItMCIsInN1YiI6ImxpbmstcmVkaXJlY3QifQ.QSlg6sWfN_ayAV3loE-bI4eZ5odBfihwaOGC3P88xxI?&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=subscribe-widget&amp;utm_content=121166302\">Upgrade to paid<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2\/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9jb25jb2RhLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpYmU_dG9rZW49ZXlKMWMyVnlYMmxrSWpvek5EYzFORGcxTVN3aWFXRjBJam94TmpnMU1qQXlNRFl5TENKbGVIQWlPakUyT0RjM09UUXdOaklzSW1semN5STZJbkIxWWkwek9Ea3lJaXdpYzNWaUlqb2lZMmhsWTJ0dmRYUWlmUS43M2dFSXRENE5yckU5TElBdVFVWlJ0NVZpdDhoNENobWU3WWlrWHVBUWJjJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9cG9zdCIsInAiOjEyMTE2NjMwMiwicyI6Mzg5MiwiZiI6dHJ1ZSwidSI6MzQ3NTQ4NTEsImlhdCI6MTY4NTIwMjA2MiwiZXhwIjoxNjg3Nzk0MDYyLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItMCIsInN1YiI6ImxpbmstcmVkaXJlY3QifQ.QSlg6sWfN_ayAV3loE-bI4eZ5odBfihwaOGC3P88xxI?&amp;gift=true\">Give a gift subscription<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/a495c06b-740e-4061-abc9-51d18fce468b?j=eyJ1Ijoia294MGoifQ.euWLGHi-UrsqruHKPuLOvXj33ke4o_tpp-6W6HwzZS4\" target=\"_blank\">disclaimer<\/a>. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Links:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/27\/aliens-and-planet-earth\/\">Aliens and planet Earth<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/28\/ashtar-sharon-gfl-w-asar-sharon-new-earth\/\">Ashtar Sharon gfl W Asar Sharon &amp; New Earth.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/22\/aether-free-energy\/\">AETHER (FREE) ENERGY.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/17\/carbon-dioxide-and-health\/\">Carbon dioxide and Healt<\/a>h<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/21\/chang-of-definitions-associated-in-a-name-used-as-a-tool-weapon-to-mislead\/\">If our selected leaders would be more careful in choosing their words, life would more be like heaven.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/16\/religions-the-state-media-and-humanity\/\">Religions, The State\/Media and humanity.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/12\/14\/remote-viewing-and-alien-interventions-on-planet-earth\/\">Remote viewing and Alien interventions on planet earth<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/11\/04\/ancient-origin\/\">Ancient origin.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/11\/01\/baba-vanga-and-the-predictions-for-europe-west\/\">Baba Vanga and the predictions for Europe\/West.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/10\/23\/reels\/\">Reels<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/07\/26\/human-farm-and-children\/\">Human farm and children<\/a><br><a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/07\/24\/deep-fake-a-bit-threat-was-is-real\/\">Deep fake a big threat, wat is real?<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/wp-admin\/post.php?post=2495&amp;action=edit\">Cabal or deep State&amp; Alien connection. Stranger science fiction.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-matilda wp-block-embed-matilda\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/matilda-macelroy.com\/wp\/2023\/05\/26\/get-ready-the-alien-intervention-is-here\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Index: please click on the link for the index please? The Central Bank Plan to Monopolize Global Finance Werner points out that while central banks are promoting CBDCs as digital currency, we\u2019ve had digital currency for decades, so there\u2019s nothing new about the digital aspect of this currency. Cash \u2014 paper banknotes and coins \u2014 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1725"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1725\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8033,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1725\/revisions\/8033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/humanityandearth.com\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}